yarik83
lvl.2
United States
Offline
|
I am not a pessimist. I am a realist. In fact I am both a hobbyist and a commercial drone pilot so I got both angles there.
#1 commercial drone industry is simply cost prohibitive. Case in point.
You can not get engineering spec aerial topo surveys from a drone. You can not cover enough land as you would from a Cessna plane equipped with lidar sensors and image sensors. Software like Pix4D take FOREVER to process your imagery which to be even remotely "engineering ballpark" also require using survey grade trimble gps units. By that point you are sitting pretty with a $1,500-40,000 drone, $6,000 Pix4D software. $10,000 ESRI software to process imagery, Professional geographer/photogrammetrist, not to mention liability insurance requirements, access constraints, licensing, deliverables etc.... so your project to fly say 250 acres costs $5,000 1 week turnaround using a conventional method of professional survey company using a plane or $1,000 using a drone with no engineering spec. Mind you that is from a standpoint of industry insider where company would rather pay $5,000 than $1,000.
You can't be a Joe off the street flying your phantom offering aerials/topo to sell despite the fact that your phantom can fly and get the aerials and extrapolate gibberish topography after 11 hours of crunching the darn pix4d, which average Joe can't afford anyways or afford a GIS/CAD program to process and produce a decent deliverable. Even using Microsoft ICE to stitch aerials for free does not pass the smell test considering 90% of the time you can purchase or get aerial imagery for free. Not to mention having necessity to obtain things like MSHA/OSHA/high liability insurance/be approved as a vendor to companies etc.
Our company has a Matrice which I have never seen but they used it for thermal imagery at the plant a couple few times. $40,000... perpetually brakes.... downtime 99% despite all efforts to make use of it. Our phantom that we use has 99.9% downtime.
And then there is the recreational aspect.
I just came back from a 1700 mile roundtrip rv trip. Florida-Georgia-Tennessee-North Carolina-South Carolina. Every single place we went to has no drone signs. Ohh yeah the hobby is doing great. Here, let me fly one of my drones at a local soccer field. Cop shows up... tells me I can't fly there despite being only person there. Can't fly on a beach, at a state or county parks, not in national parks, not in hiking areas, not locally and dji app is kicking and screaming every time someone has a grass airfield in 5 mile radius, can't register or update drone but forced to update while connected to wifi which I do not have because I am so remote so no cell signal.
Price of drones plummeted off a cliff. Wallmart sells phantoms for $399 which is a disaster for hobby and commercial use drone market.
Sky is not falling but the ripple effect of drone hysteria took its ultimate toll. My recent trip to smokey national park. drone signs plastered all over. Can't fly. Hike up the alum cave bluff which is one of best hikes in the park... some metrosexual instagram model is flying a drone ruining for people like US. Ranger was called by some old geezer who sprinted down the mountain like a gazelle on way back from La Conte peak and started picking a fight with the person flying a drone. Ranger was hiking up the mountain, trouble ensued etc etc.
Real estate drone photography is also a bust. Just about every subdivision with HOA banned drones and what few drone pictures make their way into realtor websites are cost prohibitive for realtors to hire a drone pilot rather than buying a drone and doing it themselves.
This is the reality. I do not care about AMA, never did, never will. I do not care about CAA and FAA and all sorts of things that rhyme with AA. I just see reality for what it is. Much like gopro that created all this buzz and all that jazz... people eventually started using it a lot less and switching to dslr to vlog and whatever. Drones are no different. Only people profiting from drones are those that make and sell them. I am all for R&D and utilization but when you can't fly. ....
|
|