K6CCC
lvl.4
Flight distance : 651683 ft
United States
Offline
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Glad you did not lose your Mini - you were lucky.
Can't believe wind forecasts. This is a 100% true story from quite a few years ago. I was the pilot on a flight from a little north of Everett, Washington to Sacramento, California in a Cessna 172 (4 seat single engine airplane) with a refueling stop in Eugene, Oregon. While at Eugene, I received a new weather forecast and filed my instrument flight plan. The forecast was for an 18 knot headwind. Took off in late afternoon and almost immediately flew into the clouds. Somewhere around the Oregon / California border at 11,000 feet the air traffic controller asked me if I had calculated my ground speed. I had only partially done so, and was aware that I was getting more headwind than forecast. He advised me that my ground speed was 62 knots. Since my airspeed was 120 knots, that meant that I had a 58 knot headwind! Sure a lot more than the forecast 18 knot. I did the math and figured I might need to make an early fuel stop. The controller did his part and let me go to lower altitudes every time the Minimum Vectoring Altitude lowered, and every time I got lower, my ground speed improved a little. Broke out of the clouds about an hour north of Sacramento, and ultimately determined that I had enough fuel to make it to Sacramento. After my safe landing, it turns out that I had about 2 gallons left (15 to 20 minutes). A LOT less than I would like to have had! Especially at night.
So, the moral of the story is: Don't believe wind forecasts!
BTW, before someone questions why my GPS did not tell me my ground speed - this was before GPS was available to civilians.
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